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Should You Really Split Your 8s In Blackjack

Dear Mark,
It seems the consistent recommendation in blackjack is to always split
8s. But if the dealer is showing a strong card, does it make sense to
put more money on the table with the dealer in a strong position? Bill
S.

I am sure, Bill, that most readers will warm to your point; it has a
certain healthy smell of horse sense about it, but not quite enough.
Watch closely. With two 8s against a dealer 10 card, the good common sense your momma raised you with tells you that splitting this hand just creates two losers. It probably seems that every time you've split 8s it in the past, sure, you might occasionally get two 10s, but then the damn dealer flips over his card and it's always a 10 card in the hole.

But actually, what you're really doing when you split 8s is
breaking up a 16, the worst possible hand you can have in blackjack.

Here's the arithmetic, Bill, based on a kazillion computer simulations
of 8s against a dealer's10. If you split 8s, you will lose $44 for
every $100 wagered. If you were to just hit the hand, you would lose
$51 for every $100 bet. You may not necessarily always put extra jingle
in your pocket by splitting 8s, but you will lose less money over the
long run if you split 'em.


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More Columns By Mark Pilarski
Have a question? Ask Mark pilarski@markpilarski.com

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