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How Random Is a New Blackjack Deck?

Dear Mark,
When a pit boss brought in new cards on our blackjack game, a friend I’m with tells me to lower my bet on the first shuffle. Does it really make any difference? John D.

Whether I answer yes or no, John, it’s still bound to stir an argument among purists on both sides of the issue.
First, a study I recently read stated that a new deck of cards only becomes random after it’s been shuffled seven times. It’s also my experience that most casinos only require a dealer to shuffle, even with a new deck on

the game, from three to five times. So why are these statements important? Because, when a new deck of cards arrives on your game fresh out of the box, it comes in a predefined order (A-K hearts, A-K clubs, K-A diamonds, K-A spades), which contains 10-value card clumps not completely broken up by the initial shuffle.
So though my answer leans towards yes, albeit mildly, I do confess I also back off until the second shuffle—which should make the cards as random as they can be.


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Have a question? Ask Mark pilarski@markpilarski.com

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