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Blackjack Making Right Choices Count

You’re sitting on a stool, nursing a strong drink, at a place that is right on the waterfront, when suddenly BAM! ...everything goes black. The next day you wake up in an unfamiliar room, note that the money is missing from your wallet, and you see the waves gently undulating all the way to the horizon. “What happened?” you ask yourself rubbing your head. “Have I been Shanghaied by unscrupulous seamen?

Will I be forced to work my way across the ocean on some seedy steamship that is peopled with loudmouthed, uncouth, uncivilized, scurvy-ridden, black-toothed, one-eyed-patched brigands from every port of call in the world?” Nah! You’re in a hotel room, in Mississippi or Nevada or Atlantic City, and you are recovering not from a blackjack blow to the head but from a blackjack blow to your bankroll and, more importantly, to your ego.

While blackjack has been written about as the best possible casino game to play if you know what you are doing, it is one of the worst games to play if you don’t know what you’re doing. Just look at the win figures for blackjack across this great and glorious gambling nation of ours and you will see an interesting fact emerge. Casinos win more money at blackjack than they do at any other table game. This win is not just a product of the fact that more people play blackjack than any other table game (they do); it is also a product of the fact that there are more people who play blackjack poorly than there are people who play it well.

Blackjack is a casino game where the players’ decisions have a dramatic impact on the players’ results. Whether you win or lose is not strictly a function of good or bad luck. A good blackjack player (good is defined as one who plays Basic Strategy) plays against a house edge of approximately one-half percent in multiple-deck games. And what does a bad blackjack player face? Most blackjack players are rated as playing against a two percent casino edge for comping purposes. The fact is that most players are probably playing against edges of three to six percent based on my observations at the tables. Another consideration that makes blackjack a dangerous game for the unwary and unwise is the fact that it is a relatively fast casino game, with anywhere from 60 to 100 decisions per hour. That two, three, four or more percent is working on a lot more money than it would at games such as Pai Gow poker, Let It Ride or roulette, which are relatively slow games.

For three decades now computers have been able to show us what the correct hitting, standing, splitting, and doubling down decisions are in order maximize our win potential and minimize our loss potential on every possible player hand vs. all dealer upcards. For example, most readers are probably aware that splitting tens is a no-no at blackjack. Here’s why. First, let us take the most vulnerable dealer hand, 16, and see what happens when we split our 10s. For every $100 bet on your 20 composed of two ten-valued cards in the six and eight-deck games, you will win approximately $57 if you split them. Not bad? Well , you will win approximately $70 if you stand with your 20! That’s a big difference. And if you split your two ten-valued cards against the dealers 10 upcard (yes, I have seen players do this), you will now win five dollars for every $100 bet in this situation from an expected $56 dollars had you stood on your 20. That’s a huge difference.

Blackjack Making Right Choices Count Part 2




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More Columns By Franki Scoblete

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