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Blackjack Stay At Hard 15

Dear Mark,
I like playing blackjack and feel that I play "by the book." Occasionally I am at a table where there are what my friends and I term, "free radicals"; people who hit their 15s when the dealer is showing a six. Often, I get frustrated and just get up and go to a higher limit table. There I find the play less reckless. Sometimes, however, the crazy play helps. I won two hands yesterday (at Caesar's in Vegas) when a woman hit a hand when she clearly should not have. Her hits prevented the dealer from making a 21 twice causing the dealer to bust out. My observation is that it seems like random play helps as much as hurts. Do you feel it best to avoid those types of players at your table or does it really matter in the long run? Paul G.

Practically all blackjack players have lost a decent-sized wager due to some nincompoop playing ugly on third base. The dealer is showing a 6 as her up-card, and all the players at the table stand on their stiff hands. Everyone, that is, but the nitwit on third base. He whacks his hard 15, is dealt a 10, and busts. "Hey you @ !! & ^ % jerk," we all mutter under our breath, "That 10 was the dealer's bust card.

"It happens every day, in every casino, on every blackjack game. No wonder we tend to believe that the play of some dunce taking the dealer's bust card influences our hand.
The fact of the matter is, Paul, that a player taking the dealer's bust card has no impact on the overall outcome of your play. One of the biggest fallacies in gambling is the notion that mediocre play will have a long-term effect on the game in general. Mathematically, shoddy play will only influence the outcome of Shoddy's wagers, causing Shoddy eventually to fall a casino casualty. Not you.
True, unorthodox play by an inexperienced player can impair the outcome of any individual hand, but the converse also occurs every day, in every casino, on every blackjack game. The player who mistakenly hits his hard 15, draws a 5, and the dealer proceeds to bust out with a 10. Do you congratulate him for his psychic play? Include him on your Christmas card list? Hardly!
My recommendation is to concentrate on your cards against the dealer's up-card. If bungled play by an inexperienced player takes away from that concentration, move your rump elsewhere.

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