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Baccarat Counting Cards

Dear Mark,
It has been well established, even by you in this column, that you can
gain a mathematical edge counting cards in blackjack. Do you believe
the same holds true for baccarat? Danny R.

Baccarat is a card game with one major similarity to blackjack, Danny. Once the cards are dealt, they are then placed in a discard rack and do not reappear until the shuffle. In theory, knowledge of the remaining cards can be used for an applicable counting system. Because counting does works in blackjack, some believe a card-counting system can/should work for baccarat, being that the effect of removing any given card from the game favors either the player or the house.

That said, personally I'm not willing to expend my already depleted
brain cells and count down eight decks of randomly shuffled cards for a
hypothetical, minuscule off-balance in my favor, especially when
playing baccarat either drunk or stupid the house only holds a 1.17 or
1.36 percent house advantage on the bank or player bet.

Even two leading authorities on counting systems, Peter Griffin and
Edward Thorp, believe baccarat is not a countable game. As a matter of
fact, Griffin's analysis showed that a card-counter could earn less
than ten cents per day by using the strongest possible count system.
Talk about minimum wage!

Likewise, I'll band with Thorp and Griffin, even though I once learned
a supposedly simple counting method that an old-time pit boss named
Dennis taught me when I first learned to deal mini-baccarat. I'm sure
it was for my amusement and not to protect the casino's war chest,
since we seldom saw a wager over five bucks, but he told me to count
the 4s and 6s as they left the shoe. He said when 4s exit the deck,
statistically the player should be betting on the banker, and when 6s
come out, the player wager is the smarter bet.

Is this count method practical? Hell if I know, but one thing Denny was
always good for was free after shift drinks at the casino bar.




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More Columns By Mark Pilarski
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