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Don't Confuse The House Edge And Casino Hold

Dear Mark,
The Mississippi Gaming Commission recently posted the "Hold"
percentage for table games on the coast. Blackjack was listed at
14.58%. If, using perfect basic playing strategy, the house edge is
supposed to be approximately one half of 1%. Am I comparing apples and
oranges, or is the average BJ player completely ignoring basic playing
strategy? Ray F.

Yes and yes. But for starters, Ray, you are confusing house edge with casino hold.

The "house edge" is a predetermined percentage of each bet that the house takes as payment for letting you sit at their tables. The
casino's "hold" is the share of the chips the player bought that are
won back by the casino. It’s not all that hard for the casino to turn a
house edge of 1% and then, “Presto! begone!” turn it into a 14-plus
percent hold.

Casinos, Ray, are not in the gambling business. They are in the
math-and-time business. Casino operators know that, even considering a
halfway decent blackjack player, the longer his keister is in their
seats, the higher their hold will climb.

Allow me to clarify. Most blackjack players give up 5% of their wager
to the house based on their shoddy play. (The house has a 5% advantage
against the “average” blackjack player. Incredibly, less than 1% of all
BJ players employ perfect basic strategy.) Consequently, after 20
hands, based on perpetual play, they should mathematically have $95
remaining. But the average player stays stuck to the stool, so with
their remaining $95, slowly but surely, they fatten up their losses,
giving the house a higher hold than the actual casino edge on the game.

Multiply that, Ray, by 24 hours a day play, grinding away at squatters
on hundreds of blackjack tables across Mississippi, and 14.58% doesn’t
really seem all that high. The only one gambling here is the blackjack
player, not the casino.

The only way you, the gambler, can avoid getting caught in this grind
is to shorten your gambling timeline. Casino operators know all too
well that such cautious behavior has negative implications on the
casino’s hold. They would much prefer to see you crazy glued to a stool
and anteing-up casino chips all day long.



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More Columns By Mark Pilarski
Have a question? Ask Mark pilarski@markpilarski.com

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