There is a way to win
83.33 percent of all your decisions at craps and
it is a hedge system that is often sold just that
way by unscrupulous systems sellers whose advertisements
blare: WIN OVER 83 PERCENT OF YOUR CRAPS DECISIONS!
This method concerns betting the Field (the numbers
2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 11, and 12) along with Place bets
on the 5, 6 and 8. Doing this covers 30 of the 36
possible outcomes of a craps roll -- an 83.33 percent
success rate!
Let’s
see how this can work for a $10 bettor. Our Field Hedger
bets $10 on the Field, $10 on the 5, and $12 on the
6 and $12 on the 8 for a total wager of $44. Any time
one of our Field numbers hits, we win $10, except on
the 2 and 12 where we win $20 as these pay off at two
to one. However, when the 5 hits, we win $14 but lose
the $10 Field Bet for a net win of $4. When the 6 or
8 rolls, we also have a net win of $4 on each because
we again win $14 but lose $10.
In 36 rolls that perfectly
reflect probability, the Field Hedger will win and
lose as follows:
Number
Appearance
Win
Loss
Net Gain
2
1 (2 to 1 payoff)
$20
$0
$20
3
2
$20
$0
$20
4
3
$30
0
$30
5
4
$56
$40
$16
6
5
$70
$50
$20
8
5
$70
$50
$20
9
4
$56
$40
$16
10
3
$30
$0
$30
11
2
$20
$0
$20
12
1 (2 to 1 payoff)
$20
$0
$20
Total Win: $212
So far this system looks great but the clinker
comes with the appearance of the evil 7. On the
six occasions when the “devil jumps up,”
we will lose all of our bets -- $44 X 6 = for a
loss of $264! So this hedging system costs the player
$52 for a completed sequence of wagers in the long
run. Yes, you will win 30 decisions and lose only
six decisions, but those six losses will kill you.
Field hedges are poison ivy for the craps player;
avoid them.
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Columns By Franki Scoblete
