mathematical bets if
he wants to see his bankroll last as long as possible.
These would be Pass with odds, Come with odds, the
placing of the 6 or 8, and the buying of the other
numbers if the “vig” is taken out only
on a win.
In a random game a
player has no chance to be a long-term winner if
he actually plays a lot, the math will grind him
to dust and that is the reality of the situation.
Here math and reality are joined like siamese twins
that can't be separated. So my advice when paying
against any random shooter or in any random game
is to follow the math. The casinos do and they do
quite nicely, economically speaking, thank you.
Now we come to the meat of the matter for controlled
shooters. What relationship does the random vig
have with the real vig when someone is changing
the odds of the game by reducing the appearance
of the 7? Do all the numbers fill in equally if
someone's SRR [seven to rolls ratio] is 1:8? Or
do some numbers fill in more than others based on
the set and the skill of that particular setter?
Keep in mind that in a strictly random game of craps
the SRR is 1:6.
It's the latter, unquestionably,
as the numbers do not fill in equally.
A skilled controlled
shooter, staying reasonably on axis (meaning his
dice stay pretty much as he originally set them
without flopping to this or that side), will be
avoiding not just the 7 but other numbers as well.
It would take much too much time to go into which
and why those numbers would be for every set, but
suffice it to say that there's a whole new set of
mathematical principles when it comes to controlled
shooting.
In studies of controlled shooting and its impact
on the game, such as Dr. Catlin's massive study
of the 5-Count, we assume all the other numbers
fill in equally for the decreasing appearance of
the 7, but that's just an easy way to figure out
the math, a short cut, it isn't really all that
accurate. In reality, we have something very different
going on.
Wise and skillful dice controllers will develop
an understanding of which numbers they tend to hit
more than other numbers as they are reducing the
7. These "signature numbers" will be like
having the casinos name on one of those big, fat
oversized checks, only this will be a cashable check,
not a cardboard one. It will say: Pay to the Order
of This Controlled Shooter.
Such "signatures"
will be money in the bank despite the “vig”
of the game.
Good
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