Here is what the above
information tells us:
1. Shooter A is definitely
a random roller, not a rhythmic roller. He couldn’t
possibly have any control over the dice at all.
You bet on all the shooter A’s of the world
and craps can’t possibly be anything more than
its mathematical underpinnings -- which is to say,
you will lose in the long run that percentage of
your total action based on the types of bets you
make. Period. Shooter A is a waste of your time.
In addition to that, Shooter A’s choice of
alcoholic beverage is suspect and his jokes are
bad. Why risk your money on him?
2. Shooter B has a
chance to be a Golden Shooter as he seems to be
very careful with his dice set, delivery and betting.
As you watch Shooter B it is obvious that he thinks
he has some effect on the dice or he would not take
such deliberate care with his roll.
3. If both Shooter
A and Shooter B have absolutely no control whatsoever
over the dice, or if rhythmic rolling does not exist
and Golden Shooters are merely a figment of my overactive
imagination in unholy alliance with my wishful thinking,
betting only on Shooter B and avoiding Shooter A
is still a smart move! Why? Because you have cut
your exposure to the house edge!
4. Shooter B is also
very much aware that he is playing two distinct
games against the casino when he rolls. He is playing
the game of craps and all that that entails, but
he is also playing the comp game. That’s right.
His deciding to Place his numbers before his come-out
roll and leaving them off during the come-out roll
indicates that he is aware the floorperson will
record his maximum spread -- $170 + his Pass Line
wager -- and not his spread when his Pass Line bet
might bump down the Place bet. Bumping down the
Place bet and taking Odds usually reduces the “comp”
spread because most casinos do not give you credit
for the Odds bet -- an important thing to consider.
Another important thing to consider is that his
bets are not working, not at risk, yet still earning
him comp credit.
5. Therefore, you have
nothing to lose and everything to gain by assuming
that Shooter B is a Golden Shooter. If he isn’t,
so what? You have cut your exposure to the house
edge so you are actually reducing your losses. That’s
a gain. But if he is a Golden Shooter, then you
have a chance to play a positive-expectation craps
game! And that could be a terrific gain indeed.
Cutthroat
Craps Shooter A
Cutthroat
Craps Shooter B
Cutthroat
Craps Betting Shooter B
Good
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