However, the dealer
signature is an interesting concept and could have
some credence because -- one: it makes sense, and
two, like Mulder on The X-Files, we want to believe
it’s true. Of course, if one could follow a
thousand dealers and record their spins over thousands
of decisions, it might be possible to determine
once and for all whether the signature idea is a
myth or a reality. To this date, we know of no such
extensive study as this. The actual accomplishing
of such a study would be much more difficult than
just the recording of thousands of dealers and thousands
of their spins.
Since we are looking
for an unconscious ability that these dealers might
have, we wouldn’t want them to know that we
are studying them because that would affect their
spins. Once dealers realized that we were looking
at them specifically, they would become highly conscious
of what they were doing. If any signature actually
existed with such a dealer, their awareness of their
spinning technique would very quickly erase whatever
signature they had. So the study of possible signatures
would have to be done surreptitiously, without the
dealer noticing, and there’s the rub. How could
a researcher stand by a dealer’s table, follow
the dealer from table to table, hour after hour,
day after day, recording and analyzing his spins
without the dealer becoming aware of such a person?
At first the dealer might think that the wheel was
being clocked, but it wouldn’t take long for
him to suspect that it was his spins that were being
clocked. Even if the dealer thought it was the machine
being clocked, this still might cause him to alter
his spin.
Now, wouldn’t
a biased-wheel watcher also affect a dealer’s
spin? (A biased wheel is one with a physical defect
of some type that causes certain numbers to appear
out of proportion to their probabilities.) Yes.
Certainly a dealer would eventually become aware
of someone standing near his table recording thousands
of spins to ascertain whether the wheel was biased.
Yes, it might make the dealer self-conscious. Yes,
the dealer might change how he spins the ball. But,
in truth, none of this would matter. On a biased
wheel any number of dealers will spin the ball with
any amount of force, causing the ball to make any
number of revolutions around the wheel, and all
this wouldn’t affect the bias one whit because
that bias was in the wheel itself and had nothing
to do with the spinning of the ball or the dealer.
But anything that is dealer-dependent and dependent
on the dealer being unaware is immediately changed
when the dealer becomes aware. In this case, as
in Quantum Mechanics in physics, the observer interferes
with the observed by the mere fact that he is observing!
And good-bye dealer signature. So I doubt if an
actual practical test of dealer signatures is workable
in the real world of casino play.
Roulette
Dealer Signature Part 2
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