Who is worth more to
a casino, the slot player who plays three one-dollar
coins in the machine or the basic strategy blackjack
player who plays $25 a hand? Im sure most
people who arent suspicious of such questions,
would tend to think that the blackjack player who
plays $25 a hand is the more valuable because, after
all, $25 is a lot of money. Its enough to
go to the movies, have dinner at a diner, and maybe
even buy something of interest for your significant
other. Whats $3? Even babysitters earn more
than $3 to take care of screaming, bawling kids.
Well, heres something that might surprise
you the slot player is more valuable by far!
Lets take a look at why.
A
blackjack player playing perfect basic strategy in most
multiple-deck games (and most blackjack games are multiple
deck now) will face about 60-80 decisions an hour at
a crowded or semi-crowded table. That means our blackjack
player will wager approximately $1500 to $2000 per hour.
Now, if our blackjack player knows basic strategy down
cold (basic strategy is the computer derived correct
decision for every player hand vs. every dealer upcard),
he
will likely face a
house edge of about one-half percent (0.005). Just
as an aside, the overwhelming majority of blackjack
players do not know basic strategy down cold and
are giving the casino perhaps a 1 to 2 percent house
edge! Facing such a house edge, he can then be expected
to lose approximately $7.50 to $10 per hour. Since
comps of any magnitude usually require that a player
spend about four hours at the games, to get full
comp means our blackjack players expectation
is to lose $30 to $40 per day. That sounds like
a lot of money until you compare it to the staggering
amount a one-dollar slot player will dump in the
same period of time.
Watch this: If our
slot player puts through $3 on every spin and does
a moderate pace of 10-12 spins per minute (one every
six or five seconds), he is putting through between
$30 and $36 per minute or $1800 to $2160 per hour.
That would be similar to a $25 blackjack players
betting handle. Unfortunately for the slot player,
and fortunately for the casino, the house edge on
most $1 slot machines is not one-half percent but
more like 5 percent and sometime more like 8 percent.
The one-dollar slot player who plays three coins
can expect to lose in one hour hold your
breath -- between $90 and $108! In four hours, he
can expect to lose close your eyes if you
play the slots -- between $360 and $432. The slot
player can expect to lose therefore approximately
ten times as much as a basic strategy blackjack
player.
But it gets worse. If a slot players game
of choice is something like Megabucks or some other
linked progressive, which keeps approximately 15
percent of all the money played in the machine,
the slot player can expect to lose (this is sooo
cruel) a whopping, bankroll-chopping, staggering,
(okay, okay, Ill tell you) $1296 a day if
he plays three coins! Now, lets have some
fun shall we? After all, if your game of choice
is one-dollar slots you must be reeling from reading
this. If the above statistics reflect a given slot
player (perhaps you), then realize that even a $100
blackjack player, thats right Mr. High Roller
himself, is less valuable to the casino than are
you. Our slot player is more valuable than a $150
baccarat player; more valuable than a $200 craps
player. But here is the irony in all this. In fact,
its a two-fold irony. First, most people play
the slots because they think that betting $3 means
they are betting less and therefore stand to lose
less than betting $25 or $100 at a table game such
as blackjack. On one decision, their idea is true,
they are betting less. But in one minute or one
hour, their bets will accumulate and the house edge
will hack away at those bets, so that their losses
are compounded and turn out to be greater than the
blackjack players losses.
Second, slot players think that somehow or other
table-game players are the lions of the casinos.
This used to be true, but it isnt anymore.
(I have the full story about this in my book, Break
the One-Armed Bandits: How to Come Out Ahead When
You Play the Slots!) Table game players are mere
pussycats in the casino jungle; the slot players
are the kings and queens of that landscape. If casinos
had their druthers all players would play the machines,
preferably for full coin, high-denominations like
$5 and $25, and for long hours. Of course, this
might end up with everyone who goes to the casinos
not having enough money to ever go to casinos again.
Now, am I recommending that slot lovers stop playing
the slots and switch to games that they dont
enjoy just to keep the house edge at bay? No, I
am not. There are pitfalls in only looking at the
math of the games as I have done above. After all,
the blackjack player playing $100 a hand could lose
10 hands in a row and be down $1000 in short order,
maybe ten minutes. The slot player would rarely
face such a monetary losing streak since he couldnt
put that much money through the machine in such
a short period of time. This aspect of gambling
is called volatility. The more you bet, the more
money, in absolute terms, you can lose on a bad
streak. And what of the good streaks? Well, generally
a $100 blackjack player would tend to win more with
each good streak but the slot player has
the possibility for incredible, mind-blowing wins
on a single spin. Thats the primary allure
of the slots after all some can even change
your life.
Next issue, I will explain ways to play the slot
machines, any slot machines, to reduce the houses
horrible hungriness for your money and give you
the same amount of fun to boot!
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Columns By Franki Scoblete